Nottingham Forest vs Shrewsbury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
NTT
1 - 0
MIL
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
NTT
1 - 1
BUR
23%
24%
53%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
NTT
2 - 1
GIR
27%
25%
49%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
MAN
0 - 4
NTT
26%
24%
50%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
NOT
0 - 2
NTT
20%
23%
58%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
STF
1 - 0
NOR
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
STF
1 - 0
BUR
28%
25%
48%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 0
STF
17%
23%
61%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
STF
2 - 1
CAR
20%
22%
58%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
STF
2 - 0
WOL
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |