Premier League Round 3

Nottingham Forest vs Middlesbrough analysis

Nottingham Forest Middlesbrough
82 ELO 74
-4.5% Tilt 10.5%
86º General ELO ranking 616º
16º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
67.9%
Nottingham Forest
20.9%
Draw
11.3%
Middlesbrough

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
Nottingham Forest
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
11.3%
Win probability
Middlesbrough
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nottingham Forest
+2%
-2%
Middlesbrough

ELO progression

Nottingham Forest
Middlesbrough
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 1996
NTT
Nottingham Forest
1 - 4
Sunderland
SUN
70%
20%
10%
83 71 12 0
17 Aug. 1996
COV
Coventry City
0 - 3
Nottingham Forest
NTT
29%
27%
44%
83 77 6 0
05 May. 1996
NTT
Nottingham Forest
3 - 0
Queens Park Rangers
QPR
54%
25%
21%
82 79 3 +1
02 May. 1996
NTT
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Newcastle
NEW
35%
27%
38%
82 86 4 0
28 Apr. 1996
MUD
Manchester United
5 - 0
Nottingham Forest
NTT
65%
21%
14%
82 89 7 0

Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 1996
CHL
Chelsea
1 - 0
Middlesbrough
MID
69%
20%
11%
74 82 8 0
17 Aug. 1996
MID
Middlesbrough
3 - 3
Liverpool
LIV
27%
27%
47%
74 88 14 0
05 May. 1996
MID
Middlesbrough
0 - 3
Manchester United
MUD
17%
22%
61%
73 90 17 +1
27 Apr. 1996
LIV
Liverpool
1 - 0
Middlesbrough
MID
77%
16%
7%
73 88 15 0
13 Apr. 1996
MID
Middlesbrough
1 - 2
Wimbledon FC
WIM
40%
26%
34%
74 79 5 -1