Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
41.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1924 |
ARS
2 - 1
NTT
63%
21%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 1
BOL
28%
30%
42%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1924 |
BOL
1 - 0
NTT
71%
17%
13%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 0
TOT
35%
29%
36%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1924 |
WBA
5 - 1
NTT
65%
19%
15%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1924 |
WBA
3 - 1
MAC
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1924 |
MAC
1 - 2
WBA
61%
21%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1924 |
MAC
2 - 2
BIR
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1924 |
LEE
0 - 3
MAC
33%
27%
39%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1924 |
MAC
3 - 3
BUR
61%
22%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |