Nottingham Forest vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
NTT
1 - 0
REA
51%
24%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
NTT
1 - 1
WBA
25%
28%
47%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
BRI
1 - 1
NTT
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
NTT
2 - 0
BOU
21%
23%
56%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
SCU
0 - 1
NTT
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
MKD
1 - 0
BCF
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
BCF
1 - 0
YEO
39%
26%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 1
BCF
29%
24%
48%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
RAD
2 - 2
BCF
15%
20%
65%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
BCF
1 - 1
EVE
8%
16%
76%
|
48 | 86 | 38 | 0 |