Oberliga Baden-Wurttemberg Round 11

Nottingen vs Hollenbach analysis

Nottingen Hollenbach
45 ELO 29
10.8% Tilt -3.8%
ELO win probability
78.7%
Nottingen
13.9%
Draw
7.4%
Hollenbach

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
Nottingen
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.4%
Win probability
Hollenbach
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Nottingen
Hollenbach
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nottingen
Nottingen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 2013
BAH
Bahlinger SC
1 - 2
Nottingen
NOT
21%
23%
57%
44 27 17 0
27 Sep. 2013
NOT
Nottingen
3 - 0
Oberachern
OBE
88%
9%
4%
44 15 29 0
21 Sep. 2013
VIL
FC 08 Villingen
0 - 3
Nottingen
NOT
23%
24%
53%
43 30 13 +1
16 Sep. 2013
NOT
Nottingen
1 - 0
Grunbach
GRU
67%
18%
15%
42 35 7 +1
09 Sep. 2013
VFR
VfR Mannheim
1 - 1
Nottingen
NOT
42%
26%
32%
43 42 1 -1

Matches

Hollenbach
Hollenbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 2013
HOL
Hollenbach
0 - 1
Karlsruher SC II
KSC
38%
24%
37%
31 33 2 0
29 Sep. 2013
HEI
Heidenheim II
6 - 1
Hollenbach
HOL
33%
24%
43%
33 25 8 -2
21 Sep. 2013
BAH
Bahlinger SC
3 - 1
Hollenbach
HOL
32%
25%
43%
35 25 10 -2
14 Sep. 2013
HOL
Hollenbach
2 - 2
Oberachern
OBE
80%
13%
7%
36 16 20 -1
07 Sep. 2013
VIL
FC 08 Villingen
2 - 1
Hollenbach
HOL
36%
26%
38%
37 31 6 -1