Notodden vs FK Arendal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
10º
10º
26
4º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 55 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 51 |
2º
|
50.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 47 |
3º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 43 |
4º
|
40.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 40 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 34 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 33 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 32 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 31 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 31 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 26 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 25 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 20 |
14º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
10% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
NOT
0 - 3
STB
12%
17%
71%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
ETO
1 - 1
NOT
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
NOT
2 - 1
VAR
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
ULL
1 - 1
NOT
57%
21%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
FRA
2 - 0
NOT
36%
23%
41%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ORN
1 - 1
FKA
27%
22%
51%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FKA
3 - 3
SAN
36%
24%
40%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
FFC
1 - 1
FKA
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
FKA
0 - 1
JER
33%
22%
44%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 2
FKA
56%
20%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |