Notodden II vs Tollnes BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
23.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notodden II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
ETO
0 - 2
NFK
76%
14%
11%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
NFK
2 - 1
LAR
14%
20%
66%
|
25 | 60 | 35 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
KIG
9 - 0
NFK
20%
21%
58%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -3 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
NFK
2 - 1
ODS
67%
18%
16%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
IFL
0 - 1
NFK
26%
22%
51%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Tollnes BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 4
FKA
18%
21%
61%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
PGE
2 - 0
TOL
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 3
SKA
45%
22%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
SFO
1 - 3
TOL
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 2
FKH
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |