Noto vs Scordia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
GRA
3 - 1
NOT
43%
23%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 1
NFR
30%
23%
48%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
USV
0 - 0
NOT
38%
27%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NOT
2 - 2
SIR
9%
20%
71%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
NOT
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Scordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
SCO
1 - 1
REG
17%
20%
63%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
AGR
0 - 0
SCO
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SCO
1 - 1
PAL
28%
22%
50%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 2
SCO
57%
21%
23%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
SCO
1 - 3
NFR
22%
21%
57%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |