Noto vs Progreditur Marcianise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
59.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SOR
0 - 1
NOT
48%
25%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 2
REN
30%
25%
46%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
DTO
1 - 1
NOT
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
NOT
2 - 1
ASD
43%
27%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
AKR
3 - 1
NOT
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
REA
0 - 0
TBR
77%
16%
8%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ASD
2 - 1
REA
16%
23%
61%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
REA
1 - 2
NFR
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ORL
0 - 2
REA
14%
21%
65%
|
51 | 18 | 33 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
REA
1 - 1
ROC
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |