Noto vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
TUR
1 - 2
NOT
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
NOT
2 - 0
HYR
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 1
NOT
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
NOT
3 - 3
VAL
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
MES
3 - 1
NOT
71%
19%
10%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 0
FOR
22%
22%
55%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
MES
23%
25%
52%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SPC
3 - 0
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 2
EBO
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |