Noto vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
USV
0 - 0
NOT
39%
26%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
NOT
1 - 0
ACP
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
COM
0 - 0
NOT
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
NOT
1 - 3
COM
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CIT
3 - 2
NOT
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
GEL
0 - 0
ACI
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
NIS
2 - 0
GEL
27%
26%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
GEL
2 - 1
RAG
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
NUO
1 - 2
GEL
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GEL
2 - 0
MES
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |