Nothomb-Post vs Messancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
53.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nothomb-Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
OPP
0 - 2
NOP
80%
12%
8%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NOP
3 - 1
RES
26%
21%
53%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +3 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
NOP
3 - 2
VAU
28%
20%
52%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 5
NOP
58%
21%
22%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NOP
1 - 3
LIB
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MES
5 - 2
FLO
73%
15%
13%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MES
2 - 2
OPP
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MES
3 - 0
SAR
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
RES
4 - 2
MES
39%
22%
39%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MES
4 - 1
LAR
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +2 |