Nothomb-Post vs Messancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
49.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+125%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nothomb-Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
OPP
0 - 2
NOP
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NOP
3 - 1
RES
29%
21%
50%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
NOP
3 - 2
VAU
34%
21%
45%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 5
NOP
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +4 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NOP
1 - 3
LIB
15%
18%
67%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MES
5 - 2
FLO
72%
15%
13%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MES
2 - 2
OPP
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MES
3 - 0
SAR
44%
23%
34%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
RES
4 - 2
MES
41%
22%
37%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MES
4 - 1
LAR
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |