Notch vs Transvaal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 2
NOT
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
NOT
1 - 0
BFC
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
VOO
0 - 1
NOT
44%
23%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
INT
2 - 1
NOT
50%
21%
29%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
NOT
0 - 0
PVV
50%
23%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Transvaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
TRA
3 - 0
INT
42%
22%
36%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VOO
0 - 1
TRA
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
TRA
3 - 0
IWA
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TRA
5 - 0
FLO
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
VIC
0 - 1
TRA
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |