Notch vs Inter Moengotapoe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
39.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
IWA
2 - 2
NOT
27%
21%
52%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
NOT
4 - 1
BIN
65%
18%
17%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
NOT
1 - 1
TRA
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NOT
4 - 1
SFC
71%
16%
13%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
BFC
0 - 0
NOT
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Inter Moengotapoe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
INT
4 - 1
VOO
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
SNL
2 - 5
INT
15%
17%
68%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
INT
1 - 2
BAY
3%
8%
89%
|
36 | 65 | 29 | -4 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
INT
4 - 0
ASG
57%
23%
21%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
GOL
3 - 4
INT
43%
22%
35%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |