Norwich City vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
FUL
1 - 1
NOR
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 1
BHA
55%
23%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 2
NOR
13%
19%
68%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
ARB
1 - 3
NOR
36%
24%
41%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
MSV
0 - 2
NOR
26%
23%
51%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
CUM
1 - 2
SWI
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CHA
3 - 0
SWI
51%
25%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SWI
1 - 2
SCU
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
WAL
1 - 0
SWI
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
SWI
0 - 0
AFC
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |