Norwich City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1977 |
NOR
1 - 3
TOT
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1977 |
MAC
2 - 0
NOR
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1977 |
NOR
3 - 0
COV
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1977 |
IPS
5 - 0
NOR
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1977 |
BIR
3 - 2
NOR
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1977 |
LEE
2 - 1
MID
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1977 |
MID
4 - 1
ARS
47%
28%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1977 |
SUN
4 - 0
MID
33%
28%
39%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1977 |
MID
3 - 0
ARS
43%
28%
30%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1977 |
MID
2 - 0
TOT
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |