Noruega U21 vs Serbia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noruega U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 3
CRO
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
CYP
1 - 3
NOR
17%
22%
61%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 2
SVK
62%
21%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
EST
1 - 1
NOR
10%
18%
72%
|
69 | 31 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
NOR
0 - 5
ENG
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Serbia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SRB
1 - 2
SVK
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
SRB
1 - 0
ISR
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2009 |
SRB
1 - 3
SWE
50%
24%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2009 |
BLR
0 - 0
SRB
36%
25%
40%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 0
SRB
68%
20%
13%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |