Northwich Victoria vs Radcliffe Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
17%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northwich Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
HAR
2 - 1
NOR
13%
19%
68%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
NOR
3 - 3
FAR
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NOR
3 - 1
SAL
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 1
PRE
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 2
NOR
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Radcliffe Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
NEW
0 - 3
RAD
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
RAD
3 - 0
OSS
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
RAD
3 - 0
CLI
49%
25%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CLI
3 - 3
RAD
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
RAD
1 - 1
RAM
29%
23%
48%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |