Northwich Victoria vs Bedworth United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northwich Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 2
NEW
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 3
NOR
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
LEE
1 - 0
NOR
27%
23%
50%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 3
CHA
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
MOS
3 - 2
NOR
21%
22%
57%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Bedworth United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BED
2 - 3
STN
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BED
2 - 0
MAR
59%
21%
21%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 2
BED
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BED
0 - 4
WIT
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
RUG
0 - 2
BED
27%
24%
49%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |