Northern Rangers vs South Hobart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
76%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
DEV
1 - 0
NOR
47%
21%
32%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 2
TIZ
16%
20%
64%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
LAU
2 - 2
NOR
10%
15%
74%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
OLY
4 - 1
NOR
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 1
OLY
43%
22%
35%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
South Hobart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SOU
3 - 2
LAU
88%
9%
4%
|
42 | 9 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 3
OLY
82%
12%
7%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
DEV
2 - 6
SOU
12%
16%
72%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 2
TIZ
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SOU
4 - 0
LAU
88%
9%
4%
|
42 | 8 | 34 | +1 |