Northern Colorado vs Lexington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+73%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
9º
3º
32
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Colorado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 1
NCO
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
NCO
31%
25%
45%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
NCO
3 - 1
RIC
52%
25%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
NCO
2 - 0
OMA
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
OKS
2 - 4
NCO
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lexington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
OMA
2 - 0
LSC
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
LSC
2 - 2
RIC
14%
20%
66%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
LSC
3 - 0
OMA
14%
21%
65%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | +3 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
CVF
2 - 1
LSC
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
LSC
83%
12%
5%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | -1 |