Northampton vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
14%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
NOR
0 - 1
STA
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
OXF
2 - 1
NOR
20%
20%
61%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
NOR
0 - 0
MKD
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
WIG
2 - 3
NOR
53%
24%
22%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
OPA
4 - 0
NOR
66%
21%
14%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 1
STE
61%
22%
18%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
STE
2 - 2
CON
46%
24%
29%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
COL
3 - 1
STE
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
STE
0 - 0
GRI
27%
25%
49%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
TOW
0 - 0
STE
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |