Northampton vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CHE
3 - 2
NOR
41%
27%
33%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 2
BUR
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
OPA
1 - 2
NOR
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
WYC
1 - 1
NOR
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 1
NOR
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
OXF
2 - 0
TRA
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CAM
5 - 1
OXF
59%
23%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
OXF
1 - 0
NEW
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
LUT
2 - 0
OXF
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
OXF
0 - 0
STE
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |