North Texas vs Real Monarchs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
7.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Texas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
NOT
2 - 1
MIN
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 0
NOT
6%
16%
78%
|
56 | 10 | 46 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
NOT
1 - 4
VAN
77%
15%
7%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
LAG
0 - 1
NOT
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
LAF
0 - 1
NOT
5%
14%
81%
|
56 | 7 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MON
0 - 4
SPK
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
MON
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
TAC
5 - 0
MON
72%
18%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MON
0 - 3
MIN
26%
23%
50%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
COR
46%
23%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |