North Shore vs Mt. Wellington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
71.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Shore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
CEN
4 - 0
NSH
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
MSA
0 - 2
NSH
7%
15%
78%
|
49 | 8 | 41 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
CLA
1 - 5
NSH
7%
15%
78%
|
49 | 8 | 41 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
EAS
4 - 1
NSH
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
NSH
3 - 1
TCU
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -9 |
Matches
Mt. Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2002 |
WAI
1 - 3
MTW
38%
25%
38%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
MIR
5 - 0
MTW
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
MTW
1 - 1
TCU
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
MTW
1 - 3
NAP
36%
23%
41%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
MTW
3 - 1
CEN
52%
23%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |