North Ferriby United vs Workington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
53.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
SOU
4 - 0
NOR
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
DUN
4 - 1
NOR
67%
17%
16%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
UNM
0 - 2
NOR
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 1
NOR
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 3
KID
9%
19%
72%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
GRA
0 - 2
WOR
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
WOR
2 - 1
BAM
30%
24%
46%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
GAI
4 - 1
WOR
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
RFC
1 - 1
WOR
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
WOR
1 - 2
STA
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |