North Brisbane vs Virginia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.3%
56.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Brisbane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 2
NEW
16%
17%
66%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NPI
3 - 2
BRI
58%
19%
23%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 2
UNI
24%
20%
56%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SPR
2 - 2
BRI
25%
21%
54%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ACA
5 - 3
BRI
47%
21%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Virginia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
BRK
4 - 1
VIR
37%
20%
42%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
VIR
2 - 3
MGH
52%
20%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WES
1 - 5
VIR
11%
14%
75%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VIR
6 - 3
RED
66%
17%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
1 - 4
STO
54%
20%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |