Norrby vs Lunds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
1º
11º
4º
23
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 67 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
23 | 58 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 51 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 49 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 45 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 44 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 43 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 42 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 40 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 39 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 38 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 35 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 35 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 33 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 28 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 19 |
16º
|
80% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 16.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10% | 49.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
87% | 34% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norrby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2024 |
TVA
3 - 0
NOR
21%
25%
55%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 0
TOR
71%
18%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
OLY
0 - 3
NOR
24%
25%
52%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FAL
0 - 1
NOR
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 2
AFC
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lunds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2024 |
OSK
2 - 2
LBK
29%
24%
47%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 1
LBK
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 1
LBK
22%
24%
54%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LBK
3 - 2
TRO
47%
25%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
LBK
1 - 2
ESK
45%
27%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |