Noroeste vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
18%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
POR
0 - 4
NOR
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 2
NOR
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 3
MON
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 1
SAO
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
COM
0 - 2
NOR
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 1
RIO
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
RIO
3 - 1
SAO
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 2
XVD
24%
26%
50%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
4 - 1
RIO
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 2
VEL
37%
26%
38%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |