Noroeste vs Mirassol FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
NOR
4 - 0
SER
60%
21%
18%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
RIO
1 - 2
NOR
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
SAN
3 - 2
NOR
89%
8%
3%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2008 |
NOR
0 - 0
PAU
31%
23%
46%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
SAO
2 - 2
NOR
91%
7%
2%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Mirassol FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
MIR
3 - 1
RIO
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 1
MIR
91%
7%
2%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
MIR
3 - 1
GUA
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
MIR
1 - 2
SAO
6%
18%
76%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 1
MIR
67%
18%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |