Noroeste vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
POR
3 - 0
NOR
78%
16%
6%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 3
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 0
NOR
40%
25%
36%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 2
AUD
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 0
MON
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
GRÊ
2 - 0
FER
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
AUD
33%
26%
42%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 1
GRÊ
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
SAN
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
POR
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |