Paulista A3 Round 10

Noroeste vs Capivariano analysis

Noroeste Capivariano
54 ELO 57
-13.7% Tilt -15.9%
3299º General ELO ranking 3685º
89º Country ELO ranking 109º
ELO win probability
30.2%
Noroeste
25.2%
Draw
44.6%
Capivariano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
Noroeste
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
44.6%
Win probability
Capivariano
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Noroeste
-10%
+55%
Capivariano

ELO progression

Noroeste
Capivariano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Noroeste
Noroeste
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2020
DES
Desportivo Brasil
0 - 1
Noroeste
NOR
46%
25%
29%
53 53 0 0
01 Mar. 2020
NOR
Noroeste
0 - 0
Velo Clube
VEL
36%
26%
38%
53 54 1 0
22 Feb. 2020
NOR
Noroeste
2 - 0
Nacional SP
NAC
47%
26%
27%
52 50 2 +1
16 Feb. 2020
LIN
Linense CA
3 - 2
Noroeste
NOR
36%
27%
37%
53 50 3 -1
12 Feb. 2020
NOR
Noroeste
3 - 0
Batatais
BAT
60%
22%
17%
52 43 9 +1

Matches

Capivariano
Capivariano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2020
CAP
Capivariano
2 - 0
Paulista
PAU
75%
17%
8%
56 43 13 0
29 Feb. 2020
COM
Comercial
2 - 1
Capivariano
CAP
28%
26%
46%
57 54 3 -1
22 Feb. 2020
CAP
Capivariano
4 - 2
Velo Clube
VEL
47%
25%
28%
56 56 0 +1
16 Feb. 2020
OLI
Olímpia FC
0 - 0
Capivariano
CAP
21%
22%
57%
56 48 8 0
12 Feb. 2020
CAP
Capivariano
1 - 0
Desportivo Brasil
DES
52%
24%
24%
56 53 3 0