Norwegian Fourth Division Group 3 Round 1

Nordstrand vs Gjøvik-Lyn analysis

Nordstrand Gjøvik-Lyn
47 ELO 37
3.2% Tilt 8.7%
6071º General ELO ranking 6625º
84º Country ELO ranking 91º
ELO win probability
66.7%
Nordstrand
18.6%
Draw
14.7%
Gjøvik-Lyn

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
Nordstrand
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.7%
Win probability
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nordstrand
-55%
+59%
Gjøvik-Lyn

Points and table prediction

Nordstrand
Their league position
Gjøvik-Lyn
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
11º
42
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Elverum
45
59
72.5%
Lorenskog IF
41
57
48.5%
Gjøvik-Lyn
42
55
46%
Skjetten
38
48
53%
Lillehammer
37
44
47%
Nordstrand
29
42
46.5%
Kongsvinger II
29
37
46.5%
Lillestrom II
23
33
23%
Strømsgodset II
11º
19
30
20.5%
HamKam II
12º
18
28
10º
23%
Bjorkelangen
21
28
11º
12%
Skedsmo
10º
21
28
12º
19.5%
Åssiden IF
13º
14
24
13º
58%
Ull/Kisa II
14º
9
13
14º
97%
Expected probabilities
Nordstrand
Gjøvik-Lyn
Promotion
0% 8.5%
Promotion play-offs
0% 30.5%
Mid-table
100% 61%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Nordstrand
Gjøvik-Lyn
Lillestrom II
Skjetten
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nordstrand
Nordstrand
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2024
NOR
Nordstrand
2 - 4
Frigg
FRI
32%
22%
46%
48 50 2 0
20 Oct. 2024
ASK
Asker
4 - 2
Nordstrand
NOR
37%
23%
40%
49 45 4 -1
05 Oct. 2024
NOR
Nordstrand
1 - 0
Oppsal
OPP
73%
16%
11%
49 36 13 0
28 Sep. 2024
NOR
Nordstrand
1 - 1
Gamle Oslo
GOF
66%
19%
16%
49 36 13 0
22 Sep. 2024
MJO
Mjøndalen IF II
0 - 1
Nordstrand
NOR
7%
15%
78%
49 20 29 0

Matches

Gjøvik-Lyn
Gjøvik-Lyn
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2024
STR
Strindheim
5 - 0
Gjøvik-Lyn
GJO
72%
16%
12%
38 47 9 0
19 Oct. 2024
GJO
Gjøvik-Lyn
0 - 3
Kjelsås
KJE
15%
23%
62%
38 60 22 0
07 Oct. 2024
VAL
Vålerenga II
0 - 4
Gjøvik-Lyn
GJO
48%
20%
32%
37 33 4 +1
28 Sep. 2024
GJO
Gjøvik-Lyn
0 - 4
Follo
FOL
18%
21%
61%
38 50 12 -1
21 Sep. 2024
GJO
Gjøvik-Lyn
1 - 2
Grorud IL
GRO
10%
16%
74%
38 57 19 0