Nordstern vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1981 |
STG
1 - 0
NOB
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1981 |
NOB
1 - 2
ZUR
16%
26%
58%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1981 |
CSC
0 - 1
NOB
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
NOB
1 - 1
YOB
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
LAU
2 - 0
NOB
72%
17%
10%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1981 |
CHI
5 - 1
BEL
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1981 |
FCL
1 - 2
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1981 |
CHI
1 - 1
SER
22%
27%
51%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
NEX
2 - 0
CHI
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
CHI
2 - 4
SIO
42%
27%
32%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |