Merani Tbilisi vs Gareji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
69.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
10º
10º
76
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 2
LOK
17%
19%
64%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SPA
4 - 1
NOR
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 3
MER
40%
24%
37%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
DIN
3 - 0
NOR
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 4
SIO
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 3
GAR
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 1
GAR
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GAR
4 - 4
WIT
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
GAR
1 - 2
GOR
29%
24%
47%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GAR
4 - 0
KOL
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |