Esiliiga Round 22

Nõmme Kalju II vs Viimsi JK analysis

Nõmme Kalju II Viimsi JK
58 ELO 78
29.9% Tilt 28.5%
3638º General ELO ranking 1163º
23º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
23.1%
Nõmme Kalju II
25.4%
Draw
51.6%
Viimsi JK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
Nõmme Kalju II
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51.6%
Win probability
Viimsi JK
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nõmme Kalju II
-1%
+18%
Viimsi JK

Points and table prediction

Nõmme Kalju II
Their league position
Viimsi JK
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
49
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Nõmme United
55
82
82%
Viimsi JK
49
74
60.5%
Tartu Welco
46
69
63%
FC Elva
41
59
65%
FC Flora Tallin II
28
52
41.5%
FC Tallinn
31
49
41%
Nõmme Kalju II
29
44
44%
Levadia Tallinn II
23
38
58%
Tallinna Kalev II
14
28
88%
Tammeka II
10º
6
12
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Nõmme Kalju II
Viimsi JK
Promotion
0% 15%
Promotion play-offs
0% 60.5%
Mid-table
68% 24.5%
Relegation play-offs
26% 0%
Relegation
6% 0%

ELO progression

Nõmme Kalju II
Viimsi JK
Tallinna Kalev II
Tartu Welco
Nõmme United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nõmme Kalju II
Nõmme Kalju II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jul. 2025
FLO
FC Flora Tallin II
1 - 2
Nõmme Kalju II
NOM
73%
16%
11%
57 70 13 0
19 Jul. 2025
NOM
Nõmme Kalju II
0 - 3
Tartu Welco
WEL
22%
22%
55%
57 72 15 0
12 Jul. 2025
TAM
Tammeka II
1 - 5
Nõmme Kalju II
NOM
30%
23%
47%
56 51 5 +1
03 Jul. 2025
NOM
Nõmme Kalju II
1 - 5
Nõmme United
NOM
19%
20%
61%
57 71 14 -1
30 Jun. 2025
NOM
Nõmme Kalju II
3 - 2
Levadia Tallinn II
LEV
44%
24%
33%
56 59 3 +1

Matches

Viimsi JK
Viimsi JK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jul. 2025
VJK
Viimsi JK
1 - 0
Tallinna Kalev II
TKA
74%
17%
10%
78 57 21 0
23 Jul. 2025
VJK
Viimsi JK
2 - 1
Tartu Welco
WEL
52%
24%
24%
77 73 4 +1
19 Jul. 2025
FCE
FC Elva
0 - 3
Viimsi JK
VJK
34%
27%
39%
76 67 9 +1
14 Jul. 2025
VJK
Viimsi JK
2 - 1
FC Tallinn
FCT
63%
21%
16%
76 65 11 0
10 Jul. 2025
VJK
Viimsi JK
7 - 1
TalTech JK
TAL
84%
12%
5%
76 9 67 0