New Zealand National League Southern League Round 13

Nomads Utd vs Cashmere Technical analysis

Nomads Utd Cashmere Technical
20 ELO 36
2.8% Tilt 0.7%
12932º General ELO ranking 8389º
42º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
9.6%
Nomads Utd
13.1%
Draw
77.2%
Cashmere Technical

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
Nomads Utd
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.4%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
77.2%
Win probability
Cashmere Technical
3.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
8%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
3.8%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.9%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Nomads Utd
Their league position
Cashmere Technical
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
35
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cashmere Technical
35
41
33.5%
Christchurch United
34
40
26%
Coastal Spirit
33
39
75%
Nelson Suburbs
23
32
69.5%
Nomads Utd
27
30
58.5%
Ferrymead Bays
22
25
59.5%
Dunedin
19
22
61%
Wanaka
15
19
76%
Universities AFC
5
5
90.5%
Selwyn United
10º
3
3
10º
90.5%
Expected probabilities
Nomads Utd
Cashmere Technical
Final Series
0% 96.5%
Mid-table
100% 3.5%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Nomads Utd
Cashmere Technical
Ferrymead Bays
Dunedin
Nelson Suburbs
Universities AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nomads Utd
Nomads Utd
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jul. 2025
DUN
Dunedin
3 - 4
Nomads Utd
NOM
41%
22%
38%
20 19 1 0
28 Jun. 2025
NOM
Nomads Utd
1 - 0
Universities AFC
UOC
88%
8%
4%
20 9 11 0
20 Jun. 2025
CHR
Christchurch United
1 - 1
Nomads Utd
NOM
88%
8%
4%
20 40 20 0
07 Jun. 2025
FER
Ferrymead Bays
1 - 1
Nomads Utd
NOM
53%
21%
26%
20 21 1 0
31 May. 2025
CHR
Christchurch United
4 - 0
Nomads Utd
NOM
78%
13%
8%
20 38 18 0

Matches

Cashmere Technical
Cashmere Technical
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jul. 2025
CAS
Cashmere Technical
4 - 1
Wanaka
WNK
87%
8%
5%
35 21 14 0
29 Jun. 2025
COA
Coastal Spirit
0 - 3
Cashmere Technical
CAS
26%
20%
54%
34 30 4 +1
21 Jun. 2025
CAS
Cashmere Technical
6 - 0
Selwyn United
SUF
95%
4%
1%
34 9 25 0
13 Jun. 2025
CHR
Christchurch United
3 - 1
Cashmere Technical
CAS
48%
20%
31%
35 39 4 -1
07 Jun. 2025
DUN
Dunedin
2 - 3
Cashmere Technical
CAS
9%
12%
79%
34 19 15 +1