Noja vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
SOL
0 - 2
NOJ
22%
22%
56%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
NOJ
3 - 2
ALB
68%
20%
12%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
TEX
0 - 3
NOJ
20%
24%
55%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
NOJ
1 - 0
SEL
81%
14%
5%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
NOJ
4 - 0
CAS
65%
21%
15%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
ESC
0 - 0
TRO
49%
26%
25%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 1
ESC
15%
25%
61%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
ESC
1 - 0
REO
75%
18%
8%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
VEL
0 - 3
ESC
39%
26%
35%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
REO
1 - 2
ESC
22%
26%
52%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |