Noja vs Cayón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
ESC
1 - 2
NOJ
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
NOJ
2 - 0
SOL
79%
14%
7%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
ALB
1 - 3
NOJ
21%
24%
55%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
NOJ
3 - 0
TEX
80%
15%
6%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
SEL
2 - 0
NOJ
13%
21%
65%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | -3 |
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
CAY
0 - 3
TRO
19%
25%
56%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAY
52%
25%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
CAY
1 - 1
REO
56%
25%
19%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
VEL
1 - 0
CAY
71%
18%
11%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
CAY
1 - 0
LAR
29%
30%
41%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |