Noisy-le-Sec vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.7%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
22.5%
68.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
20.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0%
-1
28.7%
0-2
17.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noisy-le-Sec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
GUI
1 - 0
NOI
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
NOI
1 - 0
PSG
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
PFC
1 - 0
NOI
56%
26%
18%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
NOI
1 - 0
SEN
50%
26%
25%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
PON
1 - 0
NOI
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2006 |
AUX
2 - 1
MON
39%
27%
34%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
AUX
1 - 1
LMU
67%
21%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
AUX
0 - 1
ASN
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 0
AUX
44%
27%
30%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
AUX
4 - 0
NAN
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |