Noia vs SD Sofán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CLU
2 - 3
NOI
47%
24%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NOI
1 - 2
ASP
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ATM
1 - 1
NOI
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
VIC
1 - 2
NOI
26%
24%
50%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
NOI
0 - 0
BOI
45%
24%
31%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SD Sofán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SOF
3 - 3
VIC
61%
20%
20%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 0
SOF
56%
22%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SOF
3 - 3
SAN
39%
23%
38%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SOF
0 - 6
SIG
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
DUB
1 - 0
SOF
32%
24%
44%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |