Nocerina vs Pordenone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
LAT
1 - 0
NOC
34%
29%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
NOC
1 - 0
LAT
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SOR
3 - 0
NOC
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
NOC
3 - 0
CAR
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 2
NOC
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pordenone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
POR
1 - 3
REA
43%
24%
34%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
LEG
59%
23%
18%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
DEL
3 - 0
POR
56%
24%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
MON
77%
16%
7%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
NKK
1 - 2
POR
20%
24%
56%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |