Nocerina vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
4 - 0
NOC
81%
15%
4%
|
36 | 67 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
NOC
1 - 0
ROT
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
NOC
16%
20%
64%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
NOC
1 - 1
ASD
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ROC
1 - 2
NOC
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MES
2 - 2
ASD
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PAL
3 - 0
MES
50%
25%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MES
0 - 1
POR
69%
17%
15%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CIT
3 - 2
MES
40%
24%
37%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MES
3 - 0
GEL
47%
21%
32%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |