Nocerina vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ABN
2 - 2
NOC
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NOC
2 - 4
VAR
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
NOC
2 - 2
VIC
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
REG
2 - 1
NOC
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
NOC
1 - 2
GRO
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CRO
1 - 1
SAS
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CTT
0 - 1
CRO
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
BOL
4 - 2
CRO
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CRO
0 - 0
TOR
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VER
2 - 1
CRO
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |