Nkana FC vs Red Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nkana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2018 |
LEO
0 - 1
NKA
31%
31%
38%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
NKA
1 - 0
KIT
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
NKA
0 - 1
ZAN
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
KYS
2 - 2
NKA
53%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
NKA
1 - 2
GRE
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2018 |
RED
0 - 0
NAT
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
BFC
3 - 2
RED
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
RED
1 - 1
FOR
45%
28%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
LUD
0 - 1
RED
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
RED
0 - 0
EAG
46%
28%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |