NK Varazdin vs HNK Sibenik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
8º
6º
27
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
OSI
2 - 2
NKV
63%
24%
13%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
NKV
1 - 1
DZG
18%
23%
59%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NKV
0 - 2
HKS
16%
22%
62%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 2
NKV
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
IST
1 - 2
NKV
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
HNS
0 - 0
IST
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SLA
0 - 0
HNS
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
HNS
2 - 1
LOK
21%
25%
54%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
HNG
0 - 0
HNS
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
HNS
0 - 1
RIJ
13%
19%
68%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |