Slovenia Second Division Round 13

NK Tolmin vs Smartno 1928 analysis

NK Tolmin Smartno 1928
61 ELO 49
10.7% Tilt 5%
4789º General ELO ranking 6404º
36º Country ELO ranking 54º
ELO win probability
68.3%
NK Tolmin
18.2%
Draw
13.5%
Smartno 1928

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
NK Tolmin
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.5%
Win probability
Smartno 1928
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
NK Tolmin
-25%
+48%
Smartno 1928

ELO progression

NK Tolmin
Smartno 1928
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

NK Tolmin
NK Tolmin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2014
TRI
Triglav Kranj
4 - 1
NK Tolmin
TOL
55%
24%
22%
61 64 3 0
18 Oct. 2014
TOL
NK Tolmin
4 - 0
AH Mes Tech
AHM
51%
25%
24%
59 57 2 +2
11 Oct. 2014
TOL
NK Tolmin
3 - 1
ND Dravinja Kostroj
TOL
59%
22%
20%
57 52 5 +2
04 Oct. 2014
TOL
NK Tolmin
1 - 3
NK Krško Posavje
KRS
41%
27%
32%
58 63 5 -1
28 Sep. 2014
ALU
Aluminij
0 - 1
NK Tolmin
TOL
66%
20%
14%
57 66 9 +1

Matches

Smartno 1928
Smartno 1928
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2014
SMA
Smartno 1928
4 - 4
ND Dravinja Kostroj
TOL
39%
25%
37%
49 53 4 0
18 Oct. 2014
KRS
NK Krško Posavje
4 - 2
Smartno 1928
SMA
70%
18%
12%
49 64 15 0
12 Oct. 2014
SMA
Smartno 1928
0 - 2
Aluminij
ALU
22%
27%
52%
49 66 17 0
05 Oct. 2014
SMA
Smartno 1928
1 - 3
Šencur
SEN
43%
23%
34%
50 52 2 -1
27 Sep. 2014
NKV
NK Verzej
2 - 0
Smartno 1928
SMA
59%
21%
20%
50 55 5 0