NK Otok vs Zadar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
62.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Otok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
GOS
0 - 0
OTO
26%
25%
49%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 0
OTO
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
OTO
3 - 0
HRV
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
NER
4 - 2
OTO
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
OTO
2 - 1
MOS
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ZAD
2 - 0
VAL
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ZAD
2 - 1
HNS
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
ZAD
0 - 1
HNS
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
LUK
5 - 0
ZAD
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ZAD
2 - 2
SEG
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |