Nafta Lendava vs Olimpija Ljubljana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
48.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
10º
10º
74
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nafta Lendava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2025 |
RAD
4 - 1
NKN
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
NKN
4 - 2
NSM
22%
25%
53%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
NKN
2 - 2
BRA
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
CEL
3 - 2
NKN
76%
16%
9%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
NKN
3 - 2
DOM
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
OLI
1 - 1
FCK
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
NKP
0 - 2
OLI
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
OLI
5 - 2
BEL
74%
16%
9%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
OLI
3 - 0
BRA
46%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
RAD
0 - 3
OLI
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |