Nafta Lendava vs Aluminij analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
8º
6º
64
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nafta Lendava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ROG
3 - 3
NKN
25%
25%
51%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
NKN
3 - 0
ILI
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
KRS
1 - 3
NKN
15%
21%
64%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
NKN
0 - 0
KRK
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NKP
0 - 3
NKN
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ALU
1 - 0
BRI
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
RUD
0 - 1
ALU
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ROG
0 - 1
ALU
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
ALU
0 - 0
ILI
55%
24%
22%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
KRS
1 - 3
ALU
17%
23%
60%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |